AfD strongest party in state elections in Saxony, Thuringia and Brandenburg according to Forsa poll

If the state parliaments in Saxony, Thuringia and Brandenburg were elected at the beginning of 2024, the AfD would be the strongest party by a wide margin in some cases, according to a Forsa survey. According to the RTL/ntv trend barometer published on Thursday, it could expect 36% of the votes in Thuringia, 34% in Saxony and 32% in Brandenburg.

In Thuringia, the CDU can currently expect 20% of the vote, the Left Party 17%, the SPD 9% and the Greens 5%. This means that the current red-red-green coalition in Erfurt is far from a majority. A coalition without the participation of the AfD is only possible if the CDU and the Left Party were to join an alliance.

In Saxony and Brandenburg, on the other hand, the current three-party coalitions could continue. In Saxony, the CDU would receive 30 percent, the SPD 7 percent and the Greens 8 percent. In Brandenburg, the SPD could expect 22%, the CDU 16% and the Greens 7%. A new state parliament will be elected in Saxony and Thuringia on September 1 and in Brandenburg on September 22.

According to a survey conducted by the opinion research institute Civey and the "Sächsische Zeitung" newspaper at the beginning of January, the AfD received 37% in Saxony and the CDU 33%. The SPD came in at just three percent and is in danger of not making it into the state parliament, while the FDP came in at one percent. The Greens with seven percent and the Left Party with eight percent are also far behind the AfD and CDU.

All data was collected by the market and opinion research institute Forsa on behalf of RTL Deutschland. The data on the political mood in Saxony was collected between January 7 and 10. A total of 1507 people were surveyed. The data on political sentiment in Thuringia was collected between January 6 and 10. There, 1253 people were surveyed. The data on political sentiment in Brandenburg was collected between January 6 and 10. There, 1007 people were surveyed.