About two and a half months before the state election in Saxony, a recent Insa survey shows a neck-and-neck race between the AfD and CDU. According to the survey published on Wednesday, the AfD is the strongest force, just ahead of the CDU. The Saxon AfD is classified as right-wing extremist by the state's Office for the Protection of the Constitution, but is currently defending itself legally against this.
According to the survey, the AfD currently has 32%, the CDU 30%. The Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance (BSW) has achieved 15 percent. The other parties must fear for their place in the state parliament. According to the survey, the Greens and the SPD each received 5% of the vote. The Left Party achieved four percent and the FDP two percent. The Insa opinion research institute surveyed 1,500 participants online between 10 and 17 June on behalf of the "Leipziger Volkszeitung", the "Sächsische Zeitung" and the "Freie Presse".
In mid-March, an Insa survey had shown a larger gap: In the survey, the AfD came in at 34 percent and the CDU at 30 percent - the same as in January in a Forsa poll. At Infratest dimap, the AfD even reached 35% in January, while the CDU also came in at 30%.
Election polls are generally always fraught with uncertainty. Among other things, declining party loyalty and increasingly short-term election decisions make it difficult for opinion research institutes to weight the data collected. In principle, polls only reflect opinions at the time of the survey and are not forecasts of the election outcome.
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